Part TWO: ‘Planet Has Cooled Since Bush Took Office’ – Scientists Continue Dissenting – Gore Admits 'I've failed badly' - Global Sea Ice GROWS!
November 20, 2008
Posted By Marc Morano - 5:35 PM - Marc_Morano@EPW.Senate.Gov
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Part TWO: ‘Planet Has Cooled Since Bush Took Office’ – Scientists Continue Dissenting – Gore Admits 'I've failed badly' - Global Sea Ice GROWS!Global Warming Theory has ‘failed consistently and dramatically’
Click Here to Read Part One of this Report:
Washington DC - The bad news for global warming alarmists just keeps rolling in. Below is a very small sampling of very inconvenient developments for Gore, the United Nations, and the mainstream media. Peer-reviewed studies, analyses, and prominent scientists continue to speak out to refute climate fears. The majority of data presented below is from just the past few weeks. Also see: U.S. Senate Minority Report: “Over 400 Prominent Scientists (and rapidly growing) Disputed Man-Made Global Warming Claims in 2007” & ‘Consensus’ On Man-Made Global Warming Collapses in 2008 - July 18, 2008 & An August 2007 report detailed how proponents of man-made global warming fears enjoy a monumental funding advantage over skeptical scientists. LINK
Excerpt: Dennis Prager, interviewed the author yesterday. You can listen to it here... It was good enough that I am going to listen again.” Chris Horner discusses Red Hot Lies, the latest GISS data manipulation, and his interesting Enron experiences with the ever-sensible Glenn Beck.
Glenn Beck interviewed Chris Horner, author of Red Hot Lies, on his radio show today. They discuss Horner's book, James Hansen, cap and trade, and the scare tactics employed by alarmists toward anthropogenic global warming skeptics.
Excerpt: ‘Tis the season for global warming alarmism on NBC. It is “green” week after all. Just like last year, “Today” hosts have ironically traveled to the “Ends of the Earth,” spewing carbon emissions all the way. (The network said it will “offset” the emissions.) This year, Ann Curry has been reporting from Tanzania, where she was attempting to climb Mt. Kilimanjaro. […] But what Curry didn’t tell viewers was that “most scientists who study Kilimanjaro’s glaciers have long been uneasy with the volcano’s poster-child status,” according to Seattle Times science reporter Sandi Doughton.
Excerpt: The approach is rather like that of a desperate dieter padlocking his pantry. If all goes according to plan, a climate-change bill will be passed next week that takes the power to set carbon-reduction goals away from politicians and enshrines them in law. A climate-change committee will recommend five-year carbon budgets for different parts of the economy, such as power generation, transport and manufacturing, with the ultimate goal of cutting emissions by 80% from their 1990 levels by the time 2050 rolls around. Modelled partly on the Bank of England’s Monetary-Policy Committee, which was set up in 1997 to take interest-rate decisions out of the hands of ministers, the new Committee on Climate Change (now headed by Lord Turner, the head of Britain’s financial regulator and before that the author of important pension reforms) will publish on December 1st the first three carbon budgets, covering the period until 2022.
By IPCC reviewer and climate researcher and scientist Dr. Vincent Gray, an expert reviewer on every single draft of the IPCC reports going back to 1990 and author of The Greenhouse Delusion: A Critique of "Climate Change 2001)
Excerpt: The absence of any scientific justification for the existence of a reliable average global surface temperature is just one of the many absurdities of the assumptions which are made by the basic theory of computer models which assumes that the energy of the earth can be regarded as in equilibrium, with a constant temperature, and sunshine (day and night), and “balanced” with energy coming in equalling that going out. Since there is no part of the earth where this “balance” exists, it could not possibly exist on average.
Excerpt: The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) enlisted the help of North American youth to help tackle climate change at a summit kicking off today in the United States city of Chicago. Kick the Carbon Habit” education campaign is being launched at a three-day event featuring 20 youth representatives, between the ages of 18 and 22, from the US and Canada. The new project seeks to raise awareness of the importance of resource conservation, and UNEP stressed the importance of education and youth leadership in addressing global warming.
Excerpt: In a ray of hope amid the current economic crisis, children from around the world have pulled together and raised US$21,000 for the fight against climate change.
Excerpt: We learned from our facilitators the effect that global warming has on these bears and how it has already diminished their population. There are about 900 polar bears in Churchill and only 20,000 bears remaining in the entire world. You may think this is a large number, but did you know that bears are expected to go extinct within a decade?
Get the facts on Polar Bears – U.S. Senate Minority Report Debunks Polar Bear Extinction Fears – January 30, 2008
Excerpt: The U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service estimates that the polar bear population is currently at 20,000 to 25,000 bears, up from as low as 5,000-10,000 bears in the 1950s and 1960s. A 2002 U.S. Geological Survey of wildlife in the Arctic Refuge Coastal Plain noted that the polar bear populations “may now be near historic highs.” The alarm about the future of polar bear decline is based on speculative computer model predictions many decades in the future. And the methodology of these computer models is being challenged by many scientists and forecasting experts.
Excerpt: An increase in a greenhouse gas leads to warming, right? Simple answer, in my opinion, is yes. A more complicated answer, and one that seems to be most accepted by most of the commenters, is not necessarily, as the earth's climate system is very complex. -The simple answer is yes, an increase in carbon dioxide leads to warming on the planet. This is a very simplistic approach and assumes that nothing else in the climate system changes, and all the warming observed in the earth's climate is directly attributed to the change in the levels of carbon dioxide. -As we all know, the assumptions made directly above are not true. The earth's climate is ridiculously complicated, and carbon dioxide is not the only thing that influences the climate that is changing. In fact, probably EVERYTHING in the earth's climate system changes at one time or another. So, earth's changing climate can not be entirely attributed to carbon dioxide levels rising. -Below is just my opinion, and please comment on it. The increase in carbon dioxide levels will, by itself and no other changes in the climate system, lead to warming in the earth's atmosphere. However, this warming may or may not be seen in actuality. It may be hidden, or masked, by factors that are cooling the climate. On the other hand, if warming of the climate is shown to be occurring, the increase in carbon dioxide levels are playing a role in this warming, but are not entirely responsible for all of the warming as many other factors are involved.
(Dr. William DiPuccio worked as a weather forecaster in the US Navy and as a Meteorological Technician for the National Weather Service Central Weather Service.
Excerpt: We should be cautious about placing our faith in climate models that vastly oversimplify the actual climate system. Supporting evidence for the IPCC’s projections does not warrant the high level (90%-95%) of confidence exhibited by its authors. Much less should these projections be used, at this point, for making public policy decisions. Though the latest IPCC report (2007) concludes that global warming, due to increased CO2, is a virtual certainty, the authors themselves raise fundamental doubts about our scientific understanding of radiative forcing agents and climate change, both past and present. […] All climate scientists agree that the recent flattening and decline in global temperature over the last decade is due to natural variability. Though this decline was not anticipated by climate models, IPCC supporters are confident that warming will resume in the next decade or so. But, as climate scientist Roger Pielke Sr. has observed, it seems that no matter what changes take place in weather or climate—i.e., extreme heat or extreme cold—they are said to verify the IPCC's hypothesis. Consequently there can be no falsifying evidence against it, at least not on a decadal scale. In the mean time, the media will continue to hype this issue, focusing on the most sensational statements and events. Apocalyptic views, like those of Al Gore and James Hansen (NASA), have dominated the public discussion and classroom education. Yet, these views do not even represent the IPCC’s projections, which are far more conservative and a lot less theatrical. Of course, alternate models of climate change are not even considered. This one sidedness only proves how desperately good education is needed on this issue.
Must See Video: All Things Caused by Global Warming? See Video: 'Global Warming: A Comedy' – November 17, 2008 - Excerpt: Click here to See full video: (Warning, it is funny and painfully accurate) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLxicwiBQ7Q This 9 ½ minute video brilliantly and accurately (it is not a spoof!) shows the absurdity of today’s man-made global warming fear campaign. It appears to have been produced by a group called Conservative Cavalry. They really did their homework and put together quite a show. This video should be shown in classrooms across the country and in newsrooms! The video is based on the website “A complete list of things caused by global warming.” The website is run by Dr. John Brignell, a UK Emeritus Engineering Professor at the University of Southampton who held the Chair in Industrial Instrumentation at Southampton.
Excerpt: On January 13, at Symphony Space, 2537 Broadway at 95th Street, New York, Bjørn Lomborg, Peter Huber (Senior Fellow at the Manhattan Institute), and I will be debating the motion ‘Major reductions in carbon emissions are not worth the money’ with Daniel Kammen, Oliver Tickell, and Adam Werbach in one of the now famous blockbuster IQ2 U.S. debates. The moderator will be John Donvan, correspondent for ABC News ‘Nightline’, and the debate will be recorded for airing on BBC World News Television (reaching 280 million households globally) and NPR nationally.
By Professor Tim Patterson, a paleoclimatologist from the department of Earth sciences at from Carleton University.
Excerpt: A professor from Carleton University may get the cold shoulder from environmentalists when he speaks in London tomorrow. Tim Patterson, a paleoclimatologist from the department of Earth sciences, will give an opposing view to Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth. Patterson is speaking at a Canadian Club of London luncheon. He believes we should expect global cooling rather than global warming in the coming years. "We're off on the wrong foot," he says." Climate change is not caused by humans, but by natural forces, Patterson says. His research indicates cosmic rays from the sun affect temperature by impacting cloud formation. When there are fewer cosmic rays, there are fewer clouds. Fewer clouds lead to warmer temperatures. But Patterson predicts temperatures will drop as a result of the next solar cycle, which is much weaker than usual.
Excerpt: It has plagued scientists and politicians for decades, but scientists now say global warming is not the problem. We are actually heading for the next Ice Age, they claim. British and Canadian experts warned the big freeze could bury the east of Britain in 6,000ft of ice. And what's more, the experts blame the global change on falling - rather than climbing - levels of greenhouse gases. Lead author Thomas Crowley from the University of Edinburgh and Canadian colleague William Hyde say that currently vilified greenhouse gases – such as carbon dioxide – could actually be the key to averting the chill. The warning, published in the authoritative journal Nature, is based on records of tiny marine fossils and the earth’s shifting orbit.
'Greenhouse theory does not stack up - Wine Mag – November 18, 2008
Excerpt: From Australian and New Zealand Wine Industry Journal (article from BraveNewClimate.files.wordpress.com)
"Let us not confuse environmental religion with observational science. Reliable science explains what we observe. One can not understand the climate system without an appreciation of the in?uence of geography, spatial relations, ocean currents and the physics that drive cloud cover over the tropics. We have managed to banish religion from politics. Now we need to do the same for science." West Australian winemaker. LINK
Excerpt: The waves of cold, Canadian air washing over the eastern United States brought a record low to Athens this morning, breaking a low-temperature mark that stood for 117 years. The official temperature in Athens sank to 20 degrees, breaking a record set in 1891, said Frank Taylor, spokesman for the National Weather Service office in Peachtree City. The old record was 23 degrees, Taylor said.
Excerpt: In just 15 days, Barrow, AK has received twice its average monthly November snowfall - on top of a record-breaking October
Excerpt: Green Week is upon us again, time for more global warming scare-mongering by the NBC family of networks. Kicking things off during half-time of last night's NBC Sunday Night Football, Meredith Vieira put Al Gore's alarmism to shame. [H/t reader Mick L.] Gore predicted a measly 20-foot rise in sea levels, enough to drown much of Manhattan. Vieira outdid him by a factor of 10, raising the spectre of a sea-level rise of 200 feet . That exaggerates the increase predicted by scientists by literally hundreds of times.
Excerpt: Nearly two dozen prominent scientists from around the world have denounced a recent Associated Press article promoting sea level fears in the year 2100 and beyond based on unproven computer models predictions.
Science is Settled? Forests may play overlooked role in regulating climate
Excerpt: In a study to be published next week in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, scientists led by a team at the University of New Hampshire show that forests may influence the Earth's climate in important ways that have not previously been recognized.
Excerpt: Despite record snows and low temperatures around the world last month, a major Al Gore supporter says October was the hottest on record. The only thing being cooked here is not the Earth, but the books. James Hansen, head of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and global warming alarmist, is Al Gore's favorite scientist, part of that mythical global warming "consensus" that says we are doomed and man is the culprit. On Nov. 10 he announced that last month was the hottest October on record and we were still doomed.
Excerpt: As a retired chemist with experience in absorption and emission spectroscopy, I've noticed basic errors in arguments promoted by speculators of man-made climate change and propagated in the popular media. Specifically, they've incorrectly compared absorption behavior of carbon dioxide gas to a functioning greenhouse, erroneously equated infrared (IR) radiation to greenhouse-energizing radiation from the sun, and distorted textbook science. […] Water vapor, liquid water, ice and snow, far more abundant than carbon dioxide, are all efficient IR absorbers participating in earth's thermal balance. Nevertheless, speculators blame IR absorption by carbon dioxide, approximately 0.035% of the atmosphere, for changing our climate. They haven't verified their unique viewpoint by utilizing IR radiation, synthetic gas mixtures and temperature measurements independent from the influences of poorly understood and incompletely considered natural forces that do control earth's climate and weather. Their arguments lack substance and veracity.
Excerpt: A surreal scientific blunder last week raised a huge question mark about the temperature records that underpin the worldwide alarm over global warming. [...] Yet last week's latest episode is far from the first time Dr Hansen's methodology has been called in question. In 2007 he was forced by Mr Watts and Mr McIntyre to revise his published figures for US surface temperatures, to show that the hottest decade of the 20th century was not the 1990s, as he had claimed, but the 1930s.
Excerpt: Last week, the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) -- one of four agencies responsible for monitoring the global temperatures used by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change -- released its statistics for October. According to the GISS figures, last month was the warmest October on record around the world. […] In fact, quite the opposite had occurred; there had been plenty of stories about unseasonably cool weather. London had experienced its first October snow in 70 years. Chicago and the Great Plains states had broken several lowest-temperature records, some of which had stood for 120 years. Tibet had broken snowfall records. Glaciers in Alaska, the Alps and New Zealand had begun advancing. Moreover, sea ice expanded so rapidly it covered 30% more of the Arctic than at the end of October, 2007. (Of course, you saw few stories about that, too, since interest in the Arctic ice cover is reserved for when it's melting.) So the GISS claim that October was the warmest ever seemed counterintuitive, to say the least.
[Note: The “Gore Effect” has a long and storied history. What follows is a sampling of how Mother Nature enjoys mocking global warming fear promoters. 1) First October snow since 1922 blankets London as global warming bill debated – October 2008 # 2) Global Warming Vote on Snowy Day in Washington - Senate committee debates expensive climate change bill snow blanket D.C. – December 2007 # 3) HOUSE HEARING ON 'WARMING OF THE PLANET' CANCELED AFTER SNOW/ICE STORM – February 2007 # 4) NOT AGAIN! DC 'Snow Advisory' Issued on Day of Congressional Global Warming Hearing – March 2007 # 5) Gore decries 'global warming' in bitterly cold NYC – December 2006 # 6) Gore delivers environmental message at Harvard - ...with near 125-year record breaking low temps – October 2008 # 7) Global warming activists urged to focus on Earth Day rallies and ignore snow as it 'piles up outside our windows' – April 17, 2007 # 8) No Joke! Cyclists 'braved freezing cold temps' to promote global warming awareness in New York - October 22, 2008 # 9) Global warming protest in Maryland frosted with snow – January 2008 # 10) Global warming rally in the snow – April 2007 # 11) Snow won't dampen global-warming rallies – April 2007 # 12) Brrr. - Obama to global warming demonstrators: 'This is probably not the weather to hold up those signs...it's a little chilly today' - October 28, 2008 # 13) Global Warming Awareness Walk Braves Snow Storm – March 2007 ]
For collection of “Gore Effect” see here: http://icecap.us/images/uploads/The_Gore_Effect.pdf
Nov 18, 2008: On a cold day, extremely low turnout for DC global "warming" rally - November 19, 2008
Excerpt: Climate Action Now DC rally: freezing, but fired up for change! Excerpt: The rally brought together people from all ages and backgrounds. They had two things in common: they were all freezing, and they were all ready to head to the Hill and press for bold climate action! The blog post above claims that "more than 300" were there, but I'm skeptical that even that many people bothered to show up. In the provided photos, the "crowd" looks pretty sparse--I can see what appears to be at least two or three of the same people in both shots: According to Weather Underground, yesterday's DC temperature topped out at 40 degrees, a nice round 40 degrees shy of the 1921 record high.
Excerpt: Andrew Revkin's key song lyric: "We yearned to burn more than dung and sticks. Then Satan came along and said, 'Hey, try lighting this.' He opened up the ground and showed us coal and oil." Listen here:
Excerpt: Near zero temperatures Tuesday night caused the number of 911 emergency calls to slow to just a trickle for Greenville County sheriff’s deputies, who were jumping with 3 robberies the night before, a spokesman said. We usually have 200 to 300 calls a night, said Lt. Tim Ridgeway, a sheriff’s spokesman. Right now, we’ve only had a handful of calls, he said. "I bet the whole 12 hours, we don’t get 100 calls," he said.
Excerpt: ‘Snow-vember’ Sees Ski Resorts Open Early Around The World Skiinfo.com, is reporting bumper pre-season snow across the northern hemisphere with the Alps, Pyrenees, Scandinavia and the Rockies all receiving huge early snow falls that have brought wonderful powder snow conditions for skiers and boarders on the glacier ski areas that were already open, and led to an increasing number of resorts in Canada, Italy, Norway, Spain, Switzerland and the US to open up to a month earlier than planned
Excerpt: Global warming could devastate European ski resorts within decades, forcing lower-altitude resorts to close and threatening winter sports which now attract up to 80 million tourists a year. A report by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development yesterday heaped more bad news on Alpine ski resorts, which are already struggling against the warmest weather in 1,300 years, according to Austrian climatologists, with flowers still blooming on some slopes and world ski tournaments being cancelled through lack of snow.
Excerpt: So the question has been, what will it take to get Poland’s agreement to an EU climate policy package? The obvious answer is to somehow create a loophole for Poland to be exempt from the requirements of EU climate policies. Such loopholes are the Achilles Heel of cap-and-trade, and doom the EU plans to policy failure. U.S. cap-and-traders should take note.
Excerpt: SPIEGEL ONLINE: Mr. Saran, when will India oblige itself to start restricting its own CO2 emissions? Saran: Even though there is no legal obligation on India in this respect, the Prime Minister of India made a commitment that India’s per capita emissions will at no time exceed the average of the per capita emissions of developed, industrialized countries. We have thus accepted a limit on our emissions and at the same time provided an incentive to our partners in developed countries to be more ambitious. The more significant their reductions of emissions, the lower the limit we would need to accept for our own.
Excerpt: How not to measure temperature, part 74 - Sometimes, words fail me in describing the absolute disregard of the placement of NOAA official climate monitoring sites. For example, this one in Clarinda, Iowa submitted by surfacestations volunteer Eric Gamberg: (Watts Up With That?) Sent from my Verizon Wireless BlackBerry
Excerpt: AS the world celebrates World Toilet Day today, sanitation experts have called for the end of the flushing dunny to save water and provide fertilizer for crops. Leading health advocates have called for the use of "dry" toilets which separate urine from faeces and remove the need to flush.
[Note: Many environmentalists’ oppose the creature comforts of modern bathrooms. A well documented list is here. See: 1) Reusable Toilet Paper? ‘Family Cloth” urged as eco-friendly replacement for toilet paper # 2) How to Store Used ‘Family Wipes’ # 3) How to Wash Soiled ‘Family Wipes’ # 4) How to Use Cloth Wipes (Family Wipes, Toilet Wipes) # 5) The Latest "Green" Craze: Reusable Toilet Paper?! # 5) The Latest "Green" Craze: Reusable Toilet Paper?! # 6) Background on environmentalist’s war on toilet paper: Excerpt: Ready to Rethink Toilet Paper for Earth Day? - Forests Being 'Slaughtered for Toilet Paper,' Actress Declares - Flashback: NYC Environmentalists Eliminate Toilet Paper in Effort to Save the Planet - Introduction of the Flush Toilet Deplored at Earth Summit - Dry Toilet Conference Declared a Success by Organizers - Diaperless Babies Seen As Earth-Friendly Solution - Flush Toilets Called "Environmental Disaster" - Philadelphia Plumbers Union Pipes Up About Waterless Urinals # Ready to Rethink Toilet Paper for Earth Day? ]
Simulating Arctic Cloud Cover and Sea Ice: How well do simulations of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report models compare with reality?
Excerpt: Michael Crichton, the best-selling author of science-infused thrillers including ``Jurassic Park'' and ``The Andromeda Strain,'' has died. He was 66.
Flashback: Crichton’s team emerges victorious: NYC Audience Reverses belief in man-made global warming after debate - See: “Scientific Smackdown: Skeptics Voted The Clear Winners Against Global Warming Believers in Heated NYC Debate” - March 16, 2007
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